The probability of GTA 6 release in 2025 was estimated at 71%

Rockstar Games has officially announced that the game will be released in 2025, but analysts and fans continue to argue about how realistic these dates are. According to the Polymarket platform, the probability of the title being released this year is currently estimated at 71%. This means that most users and bookmakers believe in the planned release, but a possible delay is not excluded.



Some experts point to the colossal scale of the project and the likelihood that Rockstar may postpone the launch if the final touches are delayed. Former GTA 5 animator Mike York noted that the game is already completely playable from start to finish, but the studio continues to fix bugs and bring it to an ideal state.

Polymarket is a decentralized forecasting platform where users place bets on upcoming events, including game release dates. Betting rates change based on market expectations and new information leaks.

Rockstar hasn't announced any potential delays at this point, but the company always sticks to the principle of releasing projects only when they're fully finished. If testing shows that more polish is needed, the release could actually be pushed back to 2026.